Being in the market at all times is not the key to profits. Being in the market when there is a clear, unconfused technical signal during a strong market, and the trader's judgment is not swayed by emotion, is a method for trading success. No matter how good the fundamentals and technicals are, stocks will have a high risk of failure during weak markets.
Thursday, July 15, 2010
The Big Mo
Commentary: History suggests rally will continue for at least a few more days
It would appear that the stock market has built up enough momentum to keep the rally going for a while longer.
By rising for six straight sessions, in fact, the market possesses significantly above-average prospects of continuing to perform well over the next couple of weeks.
That at least is the conclusion I drew after analyzing all past instances in which the Dow was able to rise for six days in a row.
It turns out that, since the Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE: ^DJI - News) was created in the late 1800s, there have been more than 600 instances in which the Dow's wining streak lasted at least six days. That's more than a big enough sample to support some interesting statistical tests.
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