Being in the market at all times is not the key to profits. Being in the market when there is a clear, unconfused technical signal during a strong market, and the trader's judgment is not swayed by emotion, is a method for trading success. No matter how good the fundamentals and technicals are, stocks will have a high risk of failure during weak markets.
Reflections on Volume
Big volume without further upside equals distribution
Big volume without further downside equals accumulation Volume tends to peak at turning points
Volume often precedes price movement
Volume is a relative study
Traders hunting for beaten-down stocks lift stocks; Dow gains 57 points but ends off high
NEW YORK (AP) -- The Dow Jones industrial average broke a seven-day slide after traders sifted through the market for beaten-down stocks.
Investors tried Tuesday to recover some of the big losses that piled up following disappointing economic reports. The Dow had dropped 7.3 percent in the past two weeks and on Friday closed at its lowest level since early October.
The steep drop drew traders expecting to see the market bounce.
The Dow is up 57 points at 9,744. The Standard & Poor's 500 index is up 5 at 1,028, while the Nasdaq composite index is up 2 at 2,094.
Falling stocks narrowly outpaced those that rose on the New York Stock Exchange. Volume totaled 1.3 billion shares compared with 1.1 billion Friday.
THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. Check back soon for further information. AP's earlier story is below.
NEW YORK (AP) -- A big bounce in stocks faded Tuesday after investors worried that a slowdown in the economy would continue to pound the market.
The Dow Jones industrial average fell about 10 points in late afternoon trading after jumping nearly 172 the first hour of the day. Treasury prices rose as investors remained concerned about the economy.
Retail stocks logged some of the biggest drops ahead of reports later in the week on June sales. Investors are concerned that a weakening of the recovery will keep cautious consumers out of stores. Macy's Inc. fell 3.6 percent, while Nordstrom Inc. lost 1.9 percent.
Investors tried in early trading to recover some of the big losses that piled up in the past two weeks following disappointing economic reports. Traders initially shook off a midmorning report that growth in services businesses slowed last month. The Institute for Supply Management, a trade group of purchasing executives, said its services index fell to 53.8 from 55.4 in May. Economists polled by Thomson Reuters forecast 55.0. A reading above 50 indicates growth.
"sel on streng buy whn weak" "sel on streng buy whn weak"
"Its a matter of Choice and Timing"
"Its a matter of Choice and Timing" "Its a matter of Choice and Timing"
trade with the trend
Successful traders understand that trying to guess the future is a fool's errand... They know the REAL key to keeping profits flowing is to trade with the trend, not trying to predict it.
Real traders don't care which direction the market is moving
Real traders don't care which direction the market is moving. That's because they know how to make money in any market... up, down or sideways. They take their profits on the upswing. They pick up bargains on a correction. Then they watch and wait for the right moment to do it all over again—often at the expense of a less experienced trader who sells or buys at precisely the wrong time.
Distribution and Accumulation
At the top and bottom of market moves price activity slows and briefly shows a consolidation or broadening pattern.
At market tops this is a distribution pattern. Canny traders sell stock at high prices to less skilled market participants. They distribute their holdings.
At market bottoms these same canny traders accumulate stock from sellers who have given up in disgust.
These patterns are not sudden. They develop slowly, keeping prices within a temporary trading band on steady volume. When these patterns coincide with GMMA crossover points in two time frames we get additional confirmation of a major trend change.
ONLINE STORE - salvadordali
-
Do visit the online store for products created by salvadordali the blogger.
Here are a few of the items available.
https://salvadordali.clickasnap.s...
Lazada 5.5 Bank Vouchers
-
Lazada Bank/Partner Vouchers & Offers
Link: https://mypromo.my/lazada/bank/vouchers
*Links to specific bank to collect their vouchers. *
CIMB > htt...
Malaysia - Alpha Picks: Convalescing
-
Still convalescing from the heavy selldown post GE, our July alpha picks
delivered a simple average gain of 11.3%, above FBMKLCI’s +5.5%, as the new
govern...
Stock Selection Points To Note
-
Core business
The first thing I look at when evaluating a stock to buy is the company’s
business model. What it does and how it generates profit is importan...
Small Sofas for Small Spaces
-
[image:
Small-Sofas-for-Small-Spaces-furniture-in-living-room-with-white-square-coffee-table-and-bright-lighting-1010]
*Small sofas* become an integral par...
Join us in our new chat group in Telegram
-
We can now discuss about stocks while having a cup of coffee using our
smartphones.
Join us at our chat group in Telegram. The stock cafe.
Benalec & Wah Seong
-
Buy Benalec & Wah Seong for Rebound
Further weakness on Benalec towards RM1.10 (6/9/12 low) would be attractive
to bargain
for oversold rebound towards RM1...
FKLI Daily Preview 16082013
-
*Preview *Expect futures to take a bearish turn today after US markets
posted two consecutive days of steep decline. However, do expect the local
market t...
KLCI Stock - P&O / 6009 - 2013 Quarter 1
-
PACIFIC & ORIENT BERHAD
*Company Description*
PACIFIC & ORIENT BERHAD is a Malaysia-based investment holding company. The
Company is also engaged in the ...
Amedia - Bollinger Squeeze..
-
Amedia is currently in the bollinger band squeeze for 1 week and awaiting
the right signal to boom up or down.. Those who are holding it be prepared
for an...
MAS and AirAsia in Business Partnership
-
Azman Mokhtar and Fernandes at the collaboration signing
*The collaboration agreement would not be committed upon once an anti-trust
analysis had been co...
A Personal Million Dollar Story I Don't Mind Sharing
I aspire to be a millionaire!. Yes.. a millionaire. But then who doesn't?
Way back in June 2006, I started planning my route to a millionaire's club. Way back then, I did not know whether I was an investor or a trader. This seems to be the first question a newbie has to response when chatting for the first time in the talkandshare.com. Now I know I am a trader because I despise tying up my money in the stock market if it is not "growing" daily.
I began trading/investing going against two "don't" in stock market. Firstly, I used an overdraft facility of RM200,000. But at any one time I did not exceed RM180,000 so that when the monthly interest was added to the account, it did not exceed the limit. Secondly, I traded/invested in warrants only, and only one warrant at a time.
In late November 2006, with the Bursa CI trending upwards plus a little knowledge in Fundamental Analysis and almost zero in Technical Analysis, I bought 1,050,000 units of TA-WB @ 14 sen/unit and started planning on my PDA what to do when I gained RM1,000,000. Hmm.. I am a normal human being. Before I slept each night, I would check and revise the plan. Many a times, I raised the target price because I needed more than a million to fulfill my immediate needs as a new millionaire.
Every trading day I started work at my workstation at 8.30 am, took a break from 12.30 pm to 2.30 pm, and stayed back until market closed at 5.00 pm monitoring my million-dollar-to-be TA-WB. I chose TA-WB because of TA Enterprise's solid fundamental. Furthermore, there were share buybacks at that time by none other than the spouse of the Executive Chairman of the Company. "When Datin bought back mother shares, the company must be going for the better", I reasoned. When the price reached 19 sen I told my wife I made a paper profit of RM50,000. She begged me to take profit. "RM50,000 is a lot of money", she said. I told her my target was RM1,000,000.
The price kept creeping up. It reached 21 sen. I was happy and excited. Then the price started falling. "Its ok for the price to oscillate as long as its overall trend is up", I told myself. Gone were my happiness and excitement. When the price came down to 15 sen, I panicked. Sell or hold, sell or hold I asked myself. Finally I sold @ 13.5 sen. I lost RM6,800. Not only that, the interest on the overdraft kept adding up, RM1,200 a month. Later I found out that the price I sold was the lowest that day. It closed @ 15 sen.
I was not to be beaten. I believe that during a bull market it is not that difficult to gain from stock market. I believe that it is a matter of choice and timing. I scrutinized all the warrants available, checked their exercise price and expiry date, and the health of their mother shares. During the second week of January 2007, I entered the market again. This time I purchased 1,020,000 units of Asiaep-WA @ 13 sen/unit. With the TA-WB experience still fresh in my mind, I disposed all of them @ 22.5 sen the following week with a gain of RM94,900. Not bad, I told myself. If I could repeat it ten times I would achieve my target.
Late January 2007, I bought TA-WB again. This time 700,000 units @ 24 sen/unit. The next day the price of TA-WB refused to rise, so I sold @ 23.5 sen. Again I lost, this time RM5,370. I had no luck with TA-WB although I believed that TA Enterprise Berhad was a strong and profitable company with diversified business. I immediately bought Ancom-WA the same day, 350,000 units @ 22.5 sen/unit. This time I was lucky again. The warrant price gained the next day with high volume, and I sold all @ 31.5 with a profit of RM30,683.
By then the Chinese New Year was fast approaching with a two-day break, 19-20 February 2007. I was contemplating whether to buy and hold over the two-day break or to buy after the new year when daily volume on Bursa started to increase. Not to miss the bull market, I finally decided to buy and hold. So on 14 February 2007, I purchased 1,200,000 units of Insas-WA @ 17 sen/unit. It closed @ 20 sen. The next day it opened @ 21 sen, went up to 24 sen but closed @ 21 sen. On the last day before the break, it opened @21.5 sen and went up to close @ 28 sen. I smiled to myself, happy that I had made a good decision.
Come 21 February 2007 after the Chinese New Year break, Insas-WA opened gap-up @ 30.5 sen and went up all the way to close @ 53 sen. I was ecstatic at the paper gain of RM427,500. The following morning it went up to 58 sen before it succumbed to selling pressure and closed the day at 47.5 sen. I did not sell, hoping for it to go up further. The next day it opened at 47.5 sen and went down to 40 sen before closing at 43 sen. I sold the following day @ 43 sen with a gain of RM308,000.
On 27 February 2007, Bursa CI experienced a sharp drop. I then decided to take a break and went to Singapore for a holiday.
Looking back, TA-WB reached a high of RM1.21 before the sharp drop. Had I held to 1,050,000 units of TA-WB I bought in November 2006 and sold @ above RM1.15, I would have achieved my target of gaining RM1,000,000! Sigh.
38 Steps To Become A Successful Trader
I find that the following steps are true. Credits: This article was originally posted by SK in HILT.
01 We accumulate trading information - buying books, going to seminars and researching.
02 We begin to trade with our 'new' knowledge.
03 We consistently 'donate' and then realize we may need more knowledge or information.
04 We accumulate more information.
05 We switch the commodities we are currently following.
06 We go back into the market and trade with our 'updated' knowledge.
07 We get 'beat up' again and begin to lose some of our confidence. Fear starts setting in.
08 We start to listen to 'outside news' & other traders.
09 We go back into the market and continue to donate.
10 We switch commodities again.
11 We search for more trading information.
12 We go back into the market and continue to donate.
13 We get 'overconfident' & market humbles us.
14 We start to understand that trading successfully is going to take more time and more knowledge then we anticipated. Note: Many traders will give up at this point as they realize work is involved. 15 We get serious and start concentrating on learning a 'real' methodology.
16 We trade our methodology with some success, but realize that something is missing.
17 We begin to understand the need for having rules to apply our methodology.
18 We take a sabbatical from trading to develop and research our trading rules.
19 We start trading again, this time with rules and find some success, but overall we still hesitate when it comes time to execute.
20 We add, subtract and modify rules as we see a need to be more proficient with our rules.
21 We go back into the market and continue to donate.
22 We start to take responsibility for our trading results as we understand that our success is in us, not the trade methodology.
23 We continue to trade and become more proficient with our methodology and our rules.
24 As we trade we still have a tendency to violate our rules and our results are erratic. We know we are close.
25 We go back and research our rules.
26 We build the confidence in our rules and go back into the market and trade.
27 Our trading results are getting better, but we are still hesitating in executing our rules.
28 We now see the importance of following our rules as we see the results of our trades when we don't follow them.
29 We begin to see that our lack of success is within us (a lack of discipline in following the rules because of some kind of fear) and we begin to work on knowing ourselves better.
30 We continue to trade and the market teaches us more and more about ourselves.
31 We master our methodology and trading rules.
32 We begin to consistently make money.
33 We begin to consistently make money.
34 We get a little overconfident and the market humbles us. 35 We continue to learn our lessons.
36 We stop thinking and allow our rules to trade for us (trading becomes boring, but successful) and our trading account continues to grow as we increase our contract size.
37 We are making more money then we ever dreamed to be possible.
38 We go on with our lives and accomplish many of the goals we have always dreamed of.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.