Reflections on Volume

Big volume without further upside equals distribution
Big volume without further downside equals accumulation

Volume tends to peak at turning points
Volume often precedes price movement
Volume is a relative study


Sunday, August 22, 2010

China’s Stock Market Passes US as Leading Indicator

Published: Wednesday, 4 Aug 2010 | 12:43 PM ET
By: John Melloy, Executive Producer, Fast Money

China may be the second biggest economy in the world behind the US, but it is No. 1 in terms of influence over global stock markets, analysts said.

“The Chinese equity market has shown signs of ‘leading’ global equity markets at turning points over the past three years,” wrote Geoffrey Dennis, Citigroup’s emerging markets strategist. “As a result, the 13 percent rally in the Shanghai Composite since early-July has been a major support for improved overall global sentiment over the past month.”

It’s only natural China’s stock market would take a leading role following structural changes such as a jump in listings and the allowance of short sales. After all, the economic influence speaks for itself. Among other things, China is the biggest consumer of energy products, accounts for 70 percent of iron ore demand, and in 2009, became the No. 1 auto market, according to analysts’ reports.

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