Reflections on Volume

Big volume without further upside equals distribution
Big volume without further downside equals accumulation

Volume tends to peak at turning points
Volume often precedes price movement
Volume is a relative study

Friday, December 10, 2010

GAMUDA - HDBSVR reaffirms Buy rating on Gamuda, TP RM4.90

KUALA LUMPUR: Hwang DBS Vickers Research reaffirms its Buy rating and sum-of-parts derived target price of RM4.90 for GAMUDA BHD [], which remains on its high conviction list. Its last traded price was RM3.79.

The research house said on Friday, Dec 10 Gamuda is looking to bid for the Qatar MRT project next year worth US$45bn (RM141bn). This target completion date is 2021, ahead of the FIFA World Cup in 2022.

HDBSVR said within the Middle East, Gamuda already has two projects in Qatar ' the New Doha International Airport (88% completed) and Durkhan Highway (100% completed). It is also bidding for the second phase of Durkhan Highway worth at least RM1bn together with WCT where a result should be known soon.

Gamuda's Group MD Datuk Lin Yun Ling was quoted saying he believed the company will be able to garner enough resources for both the KL MRT and Qatar MRT should it be successful in bagging both.

'While not made official, we understand the MMC-Gamuda JV will be appointed project delivery partner (PDP) for the RM36bn MRT project. This will allow it full control over the project while also bearing execution risk.

'However, what remains unclear for now is the RM14bn tunneling works which the JV is eyeing. In our view, the JV is also frontrunner to clinch this given its past expertise which is a scarcity among the local contractors,' said HDBSVR.

The research house also noted that it was not in the government's interest to delay this project by opening up the tender to foreign contractors given the MRT is an vital component of the ETP programme.

Taken from here...

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