Reflections on Volume

Big volume without further upside equals distribution
Big volume without further downside equals accumulation

Volume tends to peak at turning points
Volume often precedes price movement
Volume is a relative study


Monday, January 18, 2010

Tan Chong Motor - Regional drive on fast gear

KUALA LUMPUR: OSK Investment Research says Tan Chong Motor's management has guided that Tan Chong will be expanding regionally hand in hand with Nissan, with the former becoming the motor giant's strategic partner in expanding its presence in the still untapped ASEAN market.

"Tweaking our earnings higher by 22%-43% for FY10-FY11 on the back of better vehicle sales given the brighter prospects ahead and lower yen forecast, we derive a new target price of RM4.12 and upgrade our call to BUY from NEUTRAL previously," it said on Monday, Jan 18.

OSK Investment Research said it was raising its FY10 and FY11 revenue forecast by 22% on a 7% increase in volume. We see fresh demand for vehicles in 2010, which will be centered on Nissan's existing and new CBU line-ups, commercial vehicles, its upcoming CKD version of the Nissan Teana and the Nissan Livina X-Gear.

"We derive much comfort from Management's confirmation that Nissan Motors remains committed to making TCM a key strategic partner in embarking its regional ambitions while Nissan will intensify its focus more on the lucrative India, Thailand and China markets.

"This will see Tan Chong Motor being transformed into an export hub for not only the supply of complete vehicles but also the sourcing of critical auto parts and components from 2014 onwards," it added.

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